There is increasing pressure on land use in the UK due to demands from housing development and commitments to Net Zero and nature. This, combined with a changing climate, mean there may be less land available for agricultural commodity production within the UK. This may result in a displacement of production overseas. While there is good evidence on the carbon, biodiversity and other environmental impacts that any given land use change will bring in situ, there is currently no established method of identifying 1) where crops are likely to be grown instead and 2) what impacts this displaced crop growth may have. A way to estimate these could provide evidence that would help guide land use decisions and policy by providing a holistic understanding of both the domestic and international implications of these decisions. Project Aims 1. To produce an initial interim model that estimates where production would be displaced if a given area of land in the UK, producing a set quantity of a commodity, was no longer used for commodity production. The model will be based on clear and transparent assumptions. 2. To estimate the environmental impacts of production in these new locations. The calculated environmental impacts will ideally map onto those included in the Global Environmental Impacts of Consumption (GEIC) indicator.

Renewal: Important: The estimated value of the initial Contract term (November 2026-March 2028) is £220,000. The advertised Contract value of £330,000 includes the Authority's option to extend the Contract for up to a further twelve (12) months and commission the potential follow-on work described in Section 6 and section 16 of the Annex A. There is no guarantee that the option to extend will be exercised or that any follow-on work will be commissioned. Accordingly, bidders are not required to provide detailed project plans or pricing for the optional follow-on work at this stage.

Procurement Act 2023

Open procedure

https://jncc.gov.uk/ If interested in this project, potential bidders are invited to download the ITT zip folder attached to this advert. Bids should be submitted to the following email address: [email protected] by the date and time shown within this advert.

Documents added to tender notice: Clarification Questions and Answers Log_C26-1076-2323_V4, Bidders should refer to Version 4 (V4) of the clarification log, as this is the latest and most up-to-date version.

ITT C26-1076-2323_V2. Bidders should refer to ITT C26-1076-2323_V2 and Clarification Questions and Answers Log C26-1076-2323_V4 when preparing their submissions. If interested in this project, potential bidders are invited to download the ITT zip folder attached to this advert. Bids should be submitted to the following email address: [email protected] by the date and time shown within this advert.: https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/Attachment/A-22469 Clarification Questions and Answers Log C26-1076-2323_V1: https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/Attachment/A-22470 Clarification Questions and Answers Log_C26-1076-2323_V2,: https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/Attachment/A-22751 Clarification Questions and Answers Log_C26-1076-2323_V3.: https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/Attachment/A-23192 Clarification Questions and Answers Log_C26-1076-2323_V4, Bidders should refer to Version 4 (V4) of the clarification log, as this is the latest and most up-to-date version.: https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/Attachment/A-23732